Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence says
Warning comes hours after Poland says fire at Starlink satellite station was ‘act of sabotage’
TL;DR
- Danish intelligence warns of a low but growing risk of Russia launching long-range strikes on NATO infrastructure or limited incursions into neighboring countries.
- A fire at a Starlink satellite station in Poland is being investigated as a potential 'act of sabotage' with signs pointing to Russia's hybrid warfare doctrine.
- Suspected Russian sabotage operations targeting European infrastructure supporting Ukraine have increased, including a drone attack attempt in Germany.
- European intelligence chiefs have warned Russia may be preparing more assertive actions to test NATO's commitment to Ukraine.
- Russia is expected to intensify hybrid attacks, including destructive cyber-attacks and sabotage with a high risk of casualties.
- A source familiar with Moscow's thinking suggests Russia believes NATO is already waging a hybrid war and has the right to respond in kind.
- The aim of Russia's actions is to divert European resources from Ukraine and deepen divisions within NATO.
- While an outright invasion of a NATO country is considered unlikely, it cannot be ruled out.
- Concerns exist about the US commitment to European defense under Donald Trump and growing questions over unity within Europe, highlighted by statements from Slovakia's prime minister.
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned that Russia continues to threaten countries beyond Ukraine, including Moldova, Poland, and the Baltic states.