Putin's escalating bombing campaign won't break Ukrainians' resolve. History shows that it's doomed to fail
As winter approaches and the fifth anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion looms, it’s worth remembering that this mode of warfare rarely crushes morale
TL;DR
- Russia has intensified drone and missile strikes against Ukrainian cities, targeting residential areas and civilian infrastructure, in an effort to break Ukraine's will to resist.
- Despite these attacks, Ukrainians demonstrate a strong resolve to resist, with a significant majority rejecting land-for-peace deals.
- Historical evidence suggests that bombing campaigns are ineffective in crushing civilian morale and often serve to strengthen it.
- Russia faces substantial challenges, including immense military casualties, labor shortages, economic strain, and difficulties in supplying its troops in occupied territories.
- Ukraine's ability to intercept Russian missiles has decreased, but the country is working on acquiring new defense systems, though they will not be deployed in sufficient numbers soon.
- Ukrainians are wary of peace proposals, particularly those involving land concessions, and view certain proposed mediators as Putin partisans.
- Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian supply lines have impacted troops in occupied territories, and Russian advances have significantly slowed compared to previous periods.