Washington’s regime-change playbook might stall in Havana

The recent U.S. indictment of Cuba’s 94-year-old former leader, Raul Castro, is far more than a symbolic legal gesture. It is the clearest sign yet that the Trump administration is reviving the same pressure campaign it used against Venezuela and is attempting to apply it to Havana.

Washington’s regime-change playbook might stall in Havana

TL;DR

  • The U.S. has indicted Raul Castro, former leader of Cuba, over a 1996 incident where two civilian aircraft were shot down.
  • This indictment is interpreted as the Trump administration applying the same pressure campaign used against Venezuela to Cuba.
  • The U.S. has previously used criminal indictments as a tool for regime pressure, as seen with the capture of Nicolas Maduro.
  • Havana fears it is the next target, with rhetoric from Washington mirroring early stages of a forced transition strategy.
  • The article posits that Cuba is not Venezuela, suggesting the U.S. may be making a miscalculation in its approach.