Are GOP doomers overreacting?

ARE GOP DOOMERS OVERREACTING? This has been the week that a deep sense of pessimism about the upcoming midterm elections set in among Republicans around the country. Not just the political class of consultants and others intimately involved in campaigns — they have been pessimistic for a while, although their sense of foreboding seemed to rise to a higher level in recent days — but also among those who follow the news closely but don’t get down into the weeds of the race for control of the House and Senate.

Are GOP doomers overreacting?

TL;DR

  • Republicans are experiencing a deep sense of pessimism about the upcoming midterm elections.
  • President Trump's job approval ratings are low, contributing to the unease.
  • Independent voters are consistently shown to be against the GOP in surveys.
  • The Republican Party's strategy in 2010, which won independent voters by a wide margin, contrasts with recent elections.
  • Current independent voters are described as center-right but have unfavorable views of both parties, with economic issues being their top concern.
  • The electorate is considered volatile due to negative views of both parties and anxiety about the economy.
  • There is debate among Republicans about whether "doomers" are overreacting, with the consensus being that winning is unlikely, but the extent of the loss is uncertain.