Russia is losing the war in Ukraine, and Putin is desperate. But that’s when he’s at his most dangerous
Don’t expect the Russian president to pursue peace. Instead, he could continue to expand the war beyond Ukraine’s borders – with dire risks for us all
TL;DR
- Western analysts and Ukrainian leaders believe Russia is losing the war in Ukraine, with significant monthly casualties and stalled advances.
- Ukrainian-made drones and missiles are forcing Russian troops onto the defensive, and airstrikes are reaching deep into Russian territory.
- There is concern that Putin, isolated and misinformed, may not realize he is losing and will escalate rather than capitulate.
- A potential escalation could involve expanding the war beyond Ukraine's borders, increasing sabotage, subversion, and cyber-attacks on NATO countries.
- Russian intelligence chiefs warn of an 'export of chaos' and an 'aggressive, expansionist and revisionist mindset' from Putin.
- Hybrid warfare operations, including cyber-attacks and disinformation, are intensifying, targeting critical infrastructure and democratic processes.
- Physical aggression is also increasing, with more incursions into NATO airspace and disruptions to civilian navigation.
- A peace agreement could be used by Putin to freeze the conflict, allowing Russia to re-arm, potentially leaving Ukraine more vulnerable.
- The article suggests that the Russian people have a responsibility to remove Putin from power to end the endless war.