Angela Merkel won’t be negotiating with Putin – but the rumour reflects a truth about the Ukraine war
In Kyiv, I found a mood of confidence. Ukrainians know that Russia is creaking and that Europe has their back
TL;DR
- Europe is discussing potential envoys for peace talks with Russia, including Angela Merkel, Mario Draghi, and Sauli Niinistö.
- Ukrainians exhibit grounded confidence, anticipating continued war and potential Russian attacks on infrastructure.
- Ukrainians feel betrayed by the US, especially with Donald Trump's stance, and assume reduced and potentially withdrawn US military support.
- The war is viewed as a protracted conflict with no imminent end, as long as Putin remains in power.
- Ukraine's defence industry has advanced significantly, with domestic production meeting about 60% of its military needs.
- European commitment to Ukraine is strengthening, evidenced by a €90 billion package, as the US steps back.
- The rumour of a European envoy reflects the reality that the US's influence is diminishing, and Ukraine and Europe together hold more leverage.