Bond rout ending? Massive bets on bond rally dominate options market
There's an old Wall Street adage: Stocks float on a sea of bonds. Options traders are betting the tide is going out.
TL;DR
- Options traders are heavily buying calls on the iShares 20+Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), signaling bullish sentiment.
- Long-duration bonds have been impacted by rising yields, reaching 19-year highs in the 30-year Treasury last week.
- A significant bullish call spread was observed in TLT, suggesting a potential for an 8% payout at levels not seen since March.
- A rally in TLT would imply lower rates for long-term treasuries, which could benefit equity investors.
- Corporate bonds also saw gains, with the iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) increasing.
- Upcoming economic events include PCE inflation data, Nvidia's earnings report, and the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.