The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2026
This is part of a recurring Washington Examiner series ranking the Senate seats most likely to flip in the 2026 midterm elections. The rankings will be updated as the political landscape shifts, with new editions planned for Oct. 1 and one week before Election Day.
TL;DR
- Washington Examiner is ranking Senate seats likely to flip in the 2026 midterms.
- Rankings will be updated periodically.
- Democrats need to flip four Senate seats to regain control.
- A four-seat net gain for Democrats is required for control.
- Without it, a slim Republican majority or a split Senate is possible.