In a world of wars and climate crisis, a new leader could save the UN. But would Trump allow it?
As the organisation meets this week, it remains the best hope for restoring order. But it relies on goodwill from the US president – and that is lacking
TL;DR
- The UN is in the process of electing a new secretary-general, facing a complex global landscape with ongoing wars, climate disasters, and emerging AI threats.
- The principles of multilateralism and international law are under threat, making this election particularly consequential.
- The five permanent members of the Security Council (US, UK, France, Russia, China) hold veto power, requiring approval from leaders like Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Donald Trump.
- The US, under Donald Trump, has previously withdrawn from UN organizations and expressed a desire to dismantle international institutions, posing a significant obstacle.
- Informal straw polls have not yet revealed a clear frontrunner, and there are discussions about the possibility of no secretary-general being chosen.
- Despite financial difficulties and political challenges, the UN continues to play a crucial role in areas like climate change, peacekeeping, and humanitarian aid.
- Candidates' campaigns have been cautious, likely due to the need to secure support from all permanent Security Council members.
- There are concerns about a potential Trump-backed 'dark horse' candidate emerging.
- If an agreement isn't reached, António Guterres might be asked to stay on, or a group of senior officials could serve temporarily, leaving the UN potentially rudderless.
- The new secretary-general will face a demanding role with severe budget cuts and the need to reinvent multilateralism in a world where it is losing favor.