Tanker attacks in Strait of Hormuz surge to wartime high as Iran tries to choke off oil exports

The escalating attacks are testing whether a rebound in crude oil exports from the Middle East can be sustained under high-risk conditions.

Tanker attacks in Strait of Hormuz surge to wartime high as Iran tries to choke off oil exports

TL;DR

  • Oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz are facing daily attacks, escalating to a wartime high.
  • Eleven tankers were attacked in the week ending Oct. 4, with five more attacked this week, resulting in injured sailors.
  • Iran aims to assert presence and pressure vessels through these attacks, with officials vowing to block "illicit routes."
  • The surge in attacks coincides with a rebound in Middle Eastern crude oil exports to prewar levels.
  • Maritime risk is extremely high, with at least nine sailors dead since July and 24 dead since late February across numerous attacks.
  • Crude exports through Hormuz have fallen approximately 40% below normal levels due to increased attacks.
  • Iran has not loaded crude for export since late August due to a U.S. naval blockade.
  • Attacks have extended deeper into the Persian Gulf, with incidents reported off the coasts of Qatar and the UAE.