We should not be surprised Trump is blaming vandals for the mess on the Mall. We also should not believe him.

In the opening scene of Tom Stoppard’s Rosencrantz and Guildenstern Are Dead, one of the title characters flips a coin that keeps coming up heads, dozens and dozens of times in a row. Guildenstern muses that the unlikely event might be considered “a spectacular vindication of the principle that each individual coin spun individually is as likely to come up heads as tails and therefore should cause no surprise that each individual time it does.”

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We should not be surprised Trump is blaming vandals for the mess on the Mall. We also should not believe him.

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This theatrical reference highlights how improbable events can be framed as a vindication of basic probability.\n - Trump is blaming vandals for the mess on the Mall.\n - The article suggests not believing Trump's explanation.\n - A comparison is made to the play *Rosencrantz and Guildenstern Are Dead*.\n - The play's scene involves a coin consistently landing on heads.\n - The character in the play muses on the improbable event and probability.\n","created_at",1782369840,[322,323],[37,218],[320,321],[41,225],[319,213],[255,219],[317,318],[150,305,36],"client","Layer3.press","d","published_at","1782369840","r","https://news.layer3.press/articles/96bdedac-58a3-4974-889e-450027f55447","23de30781b20ac6afe2cdd3f78987cec938fc68a76134bac31e82b935fb22773ef63a98d653d1abf76f6636c97bd6e9315eb1f3e5a8d39a0a6195d0399e52093",[328,329,330,331,332],"Reflections on Character as Destiny\nTurn any article into a podcast. 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