Why is the far-right AfD’s state victory significant and what might happen next in German politics?

Aftershocks of party’s win in Saxony-Anhalt will ripple across Germany, with two more state elections this month

Why is the far-right AfD’s state victory significant and what might happen next in German politics?

TL;DR

  • The AfD won 44% in Saxony-Anhalt, the largest far-right victory in a German state election since the Nazi period.
  • This win puts the AfD in a strong position to potentially govern in the state, with broad powers over education, culture, and domestic security.
  • The result challenges Chancellor Friedrich Merz's leadership and the strategy of excluding the AfD from power.
  • Voter dissatisfaction with the economy and cost of living, rather than immigration, appeared to be the primary driver of the AfD's success.
  • Upcoming state elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania are now seen as risky for the ruling coalition due to the AfD's momentum and general dissatisfaction with the government.