Ukraine drone strikes and Iran war split blame on skyrocketing diesel prices
Following President Donald Trump’s deal with Russia to export diesel fuel into the global market, the administration and its critics have fought over what impact Ukrainian drone and missile strikes on Russian refineries have had on global diesel prices.

TL;DR
- There is a debate over whether Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries or the war with Iran have caused global diesel price increases.
- Marc Thiessen presented a graph from the Institute for the Study of War tracking diesel prices since August 2025.
- The graph, according to Thiessen's account, indicates that the war with Iran is the cause of rising diesel prices, not Ukraine's refinery strikes.
- President Donald Trump had previously made a deal with Russia to export diesel fuel into the global market.