'Where there's smoke there's fire': Why BTIG is sounding the alarm on tech

Investors should use a potential rebound in semiconductor stocks to reduce exposure ahead of a decline that could stretch into 2027, according to BTIG.

'Where there's smoke there's fire': Why BTIG is sounding the alarm on tech

TL;DR

  • BTIG predicts a prolonged decline in semiconductor stocks, potentially lasting until 2027.
  • There are growing doubts about the artificial intelligence sector's sustainability.
  • The Philadelphia semiconductor index (SOX) experienced its worst weekly decline since April 2025.
  • Historical data suggests relief rallies in the SOX have limited duration and average returns.
  • BTIG questions the S&P 500's relative resilience, noting declines in other sectors.
  • Key support levels for the iShares semiconductor ETF (SOXX) are identified around $490 and $468.