Stock winners and losers as Anthropic passes OpenAI as hottest AI upstart

Stratification at the frontier model level will have consequences for partner companies, customers and suppliers, analysts say.

Stock winners and losers as Anthropic passes OpenAI as hottest AI upstart

TL;DR

  • Anthropic has significantly increased its revenue and projects substantial future earnings, surpassing OpenAI's growth.
  • The competitive landscape in AI is stratifying, leading to potential shifts in dominance among frontier model developers.
  • Companies partnering with Anthropic, such as Google and Amazon, may benefit from its growth, particularly in cloud computing and semiconductors.
  • OpenAI's partners, like Oracle, may face risks if OpenAI's progress falters.
  • Despite Anthropic's rise, OpenAI remains a significant player, and the AI market may see a 'Coke and Pepsi' dynamic.
  • Open-weight models are contributing to AI becoming a more commoditized and interoperable technology.