On rooting for (dirty) laundry in Texas.

What if the polls are overestimating Democrats?

The out-party leads the generic congressional ballot by 9 points today in Nate Silver’s tracker, its biggest advantage to date.

You’re reading Boiling Frogs, Nick Catoggio’s daily newsletter featuring sharp, introspective commentary on populism, polarization, and the gradual erosion of American conservatism.

Nick Catoggio

Nick Catoggio is a staff writer at The Dispatch and is based in Texas. Prior to joining the company in 2022, he spent 16 years gradually alienating a populist readership at Hot Air. When Nick isn’t busy writing a daily newsletter on politics, he’s … probably planning the next day’s newsletter.

","freeContentEncoded","textContent","published","strategy","curl-ready","locked","deletedAt","isSyncedFromOwnBlog","original","duplicatesCount",0,"duplicateVersion","originalArticleId","errorsCount","appearance","color","backgroundColor","shortSummary","Is the Democratic lead in polls bigger than reality? Discover the implications for the upcoming elections.","summary","Current polls show the out-party leading the generic congressional ballot by 9 points, their largest advantage yet. This newsletter, Boiling Frogs by Nick Catoggio, offers commentary on populism and American conservatism. Nick Catoggio, a staff writer at The Dispatch based in Texas, previously wrote for Hot Air.","bullets",[559,560,561,562,563],"persons",[557,558],"places",[556],"words",127,"sentiment","subject","politics","meta",{"_293":519,"_520":521,"_522":523},"eventId","3b714be7dc4f4a266308e2f494785b241035fdfa3ca776dfcf97ad4fd00541d4","nostrRootEvent","event",{"_24":257,"_484":507,"_136":94,"_184":508,"_488":489,"_218":509,"_491":510},"authorNPub","markdown","On rooting for (dirty) laundry in Texas.\n\nWhat if the polls are overestimating Democrats?\n-----------------------------------------------\n\nThe out-party leads the generic congressional ballot by 9 points today in [Nate Silver’s tracker](https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls), its biggest advantage to date.\n\n_You’re reading **Boiling Frogs**, Nick Catoggio’s daily newsletter featuring sharp, introspective commentary on populism, polarization, and the gradual erosion of American conservatism._\n\n![](https://i0.wp.com/thedispatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Nick-Catoggio.png?w=120&strip=all&ssl=1)\n\n[Nick Catoggio](https://thedispatch.com/author/nick-catoggio)\n\nNick Catoggio is a staff writer at The Dispatch and is based in Texas. Prior to joining the company in 2022, he spent 16 years gradually alienating a populist readership at Hot Air. When Nick isn’t busy writing a daily newsletter on politics, he’s … probably planning the next day’s newsletter.","freeMarkdown","kind1EventId","kind30023EventId","0031d51041552433e3c06c233f6c6baa7de1827482d83c0f6fe5ac59202b4b59","kind30023",{"_24":267,"_484":485,"_136":486,"_184":487,"_488":489,"_218":490,"_491":492},"publishedToNostr","htmlContentKind30023","

On rooting for (dirty) laundry in Texas.

What if the polls are overestimating Democrats?

The out-party leads the generic congressional ballot by 9 points today in Nate Silver’s tracker, its biggest advantage to date.

You’re reading Boiling Frogs, Nick Catoggio’s daily newsletter featuring sharp, introspective commentary on populism, polarization, and the gradual erosion of American conservatism.

$\"\"$

Nick Catoggio

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