Iran Deal Looks Like a Debacle
Quoting oneself usually smacks of self-aggrandizement. But I’ll make an exception to hold myself accountable. I wrote on March 31 that “it would be a debacle to pretend that ending the war much as it stands would be anything other than a failure.” President Donald Trump’s ceasefire is murky, so one can’t be certain, but the conflict seems to be ending where it stood back then and looks like a failure.
TL;DR
- The conflict appears to be ending where it stood prior to the ceasefire, suggesting a failure.
- Iran's military and nuclear capabilities have been impacted, but not completely destroyed.
- The Islamist regime remains in power, its population oppressed, and its neighbors anxious.
- Israel continues to be threatened by Iranian terrorist proxies.
- The U.S. has accepted promises from Iran and granted billions of dollars, potentially enhancing Iran's leverage.