Let Bosnia Collapse: Why Trump Must Recognize Republika Srpska
Foggy Bottom's obsession with a dysfunctional Bosnian condominium ignores reality and creates a dangerous strategic vacuum. History proves that the Western Balkans cannot survive multi-ethnic experiments, which inevitably collapse under internal contradictions. Instead of worshiping dead institutional stability, Washington must forge a realistic diplomatic road map guiding Republika Srpska toward independence.
TL;DR
- Multi-ethnic experiments in the Western Balkans inevitably fail due to internal contradictions.
- The Dayton Accords froze conflict lines and trapped ethnic Serbs in an artificial state.
- Republika Srpska declared independence in 1992 and controls 49% of Bosnia's territory.
- Bosnia has experienced significant demographic collapse, losing over 620,000 residents since 2013.
- Washington should create a diplomatic road map for Republika Srpska's independence for regional stability.