The Susan Collins firewall
As we’ve been tracking for months, the public polling has been trending in a poor-to-disastrous direction for Republicans heading into the midterm elections. In key Senate races, it’s been downright gruesome.

TL;DR
- Public polling shows a poor-to-disastrous trend for Republicans in the midterm elections.
- Key Senate races are showing particularly grim prospects for Republicans.
- Democrats need to gain four seats to control the Senate.
- Gaining Senate control would end the Trump agenda and freeze judicial confirmations.
- Democrats are favored to win in Georgia and North Carolina.